Saturday, June 09, 2012

Possession vs Fast Break Soccer

The final results are in after compiling statistics from 306 games from the Germans Bundesliga's 2011/2012 season.

The teams with the majority of posession:
  • averaged 56% possession
  • averaged 6.0 scoring chances per game
  • averaged 1.33 points per game (win=3, tie=1, loss=0)
The teams that had less possession:
  • averaged 44% possession
  • averaged 4.7 scoring chances
  • averaged 1.41 points per game
The non-statistical observation was that two teams, Munich and Dortmund, had over 60% possession in many of their games and won. We suggest the same would be true with high possession teams like Barcelona. These teams are so good that it doesn't matter what style they play, they will win.

What the analysis suggests is that dominating possession is no guarantee for winning games. Quite the contrary, fast break soccer, meaning quick transition, is a recipe for success.


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